Beijing News reported:
Since early 2024, Ethereum (ETH) has shown strong performance, rising by nearly 50% since January 1st and breaking through the $4000 mark in March. However, the cryptocurrency has faced challenges in the past 30 days, with a decline of about 11%.
Despite this recent downturn, popular cryptocurrency analyst Deentrading remains optimistic, predicting that Ethereum will reach $6000 by September 2024.
This forecast is in response to the more skeptical outlook of Mechanism Capital founder Andrew Kang. Despite the upcoming launch of an Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States, Kang remains doubtful about Ethereum’s potential.
His analysis indicates that the ETHBTC ratio is trending downward, with fluctuations expected to range between 0.035 and 0.06 next year.
Bullish sentiment and key drivers for Ethereum
Degentrading’s optimistic outlook is based on several key factors. One important aspect is the significant increase in open interest on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, rising by $5 billion compared to levels before the ETF. The relaxation of trading restrictions could unleash a large amount of capital into the market.
Furthermore, compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum has relatively poor liquidity. Ethereum’s market value is about one-third of Bitcoin’s, but only around 10% of its liquidity. Therefore, an influx of $30-40 billion could significantly boost Ethereum’s price.
The upcoming Ethereum ETF further boosts market sentiment. The expectation of $500 million in funds flowing in over the next six months lays the foundation for a potential bull market.
Degenetrading also points out that Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) is likely to convert into an ETF. He emphasizes that compared to Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust Fund (GBTC), Ethereum may face less selling pressure due to fewer institutional backlogs, which could support a more stable price increase.
Skeptical views and market challenges
In contrast, Andrew Kang highlights several challenges. He points out the decline of major brokers like Genesis, which makes spot lending a complex means of hedging long positions on Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures. Additionally, the cost impact of holding cash and arbitrage positions may affect the profitability of market makers, potentially limiting expected capital inflows.
Kang also mentions the participation of large funds like millennials, who have a $20 billion ETF. These funds typically engage in basis trading rather than simply holding long positions.
While Degenetrading acknowledges this, he argues that compared to BTC, traditional financial professionals are highly enthusiastic about ETH and Solana (SOL), further supporting his optimistic outlook for Ethereum prices.
At the time of writing, Ethereum’s trading price is $3356.09, reflecting a 0.86% decrease in the past 24 hours.
ETH 7-day price chart. Source: Finbold
The Ethereum market is at a crucial juncture, with major analysts holding contrasting views. While the entropy highlights the potential influx of significant capital and positive market sentiment, Andrew Kang emphasizes future challenges and uncertainties.
As Ethereum evolves in the coming months, investors should carefully consider these viewpoints and closely monitor market developments.
Disclaimer: The content of this website should not be considered as investment advice. Investments are speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.
When will Ethereum reach 6000 An Analysts Insightful Prognosis
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