Coin World Report:
Announcement issued, the effect of listing is obvious within 5 minutes, and differentiation begins after 1 hour. The short-term and medium-term gains are not related to Moonshot.
Author: Nan Zhi, Odaily Planet Daily
Recently, the Meme trading platform Moonshot has gained popularity and has been praised as the “small Binance” on the chain by multiple posts on platform X, claiming that it solves the “last mile” problem of Meme tokens and has a strong listing effect. (Note: The author has reviewed 9 articles introducing Moonshot and found 6 articles with obvious promotional tendencies through recommended links.)
So does Moonshot really have a significant listing effect? If it exists, is it short-term or long-lasting? Odaily will do a data replay in this article.
Basic information:
Statistical objects: This article counts 13 tokens listed on Moonshot in the past ten days, excluding tokens from other chains such as NPC and STONKS.
Statistical time: Based on the listing time provided by the account “Moonshot Listings,” the token prices after listing for 5 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, 24 hours, and the current price (11:00 am, October 22, Beijing time) are recorded.
Special circumstances: Since it is impossible to determine the exact second when the listing announcement was released, the starting price is taken from the opening price of the 1-minute candlestick chart, and the price after 5 minutes of listing is taken from the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick chart.
Replay of listing effect:
The statistical results of the price during each time period are shown below:
It is obvious that there is a significant “listing effect” within 5 minutes after the listing announcement is made. The average increase in the first 5 minutes after the announcement is 14.7%. The longer the time, the more significant the differentiation.
In addition, if we exclude GOAT, the average increase from 5 minutes to 24 hours is actually increasing, but the cumulative increase since listing has plummeted.
Short-term listing effect is significant
The five-minute price increase of each token listed on Moonshot is shown in the chart below, arranged from left to right in the order of listing. It can be seen that except for XD, all tokens have a positive increase after the announcement.
After reviewing the candlestick chart, the author found the possibility of “announcement bots” automatically buying based on Moonshot announcements, especially for several small market cap tokens, where the one-minute increase is more significant compared to the five-minute increase.
The chart below shows the one-hour price increase, and it can be seen that most tokens still maintain a positive increase after one hour of the announcement, but differentiation begins and several tokens’ gains start to approach the 0 axis.
No listing effect in the medium term
The chart below shows the four-hour price increase, with half of the tokens wiping out their gains and continuing to decline. The three tokens, Magnet, GOAT, and GNON, which were already leading tokens in their respective stages, continue to increase their gains, indicating that Moonshot is not the fundamental reason for the rise.
The chart below shows the 24-hour price increase, including slop and Shoggoth, which are included because they were listed for less than 4 hours. It can be seen that the differentiation of token gains becomes more apparent, and it can be basically concluded that whether Moonshot is listed or not has no direct relationship with the medium-term gains of tokens.
Long-term will eventually return to zero
The chart below shows the cumulative gains of tokens since the listing announcement. GOAT is not included in the chart due to its significant increase. It can be seen that most tokens tend to return to zero. This is mainly because the tokens listed on Moonshot are all Meme tokens, which are difficult to attract attention and establish core consensus in the current flood of similar tokens, so returning to zero is inevitable.
In conclusion, Moonshot listing can only serve as a short-term reference indicator. Whether tokens can continue to rise in the medium-term is not related to it.
In addition, through the replay, it can be found that Moonshot listings are usually conducted in the evening and early morning Beijing time, and they mainly focus on tokens with a market cap of around 10 million. Readers who focus on trading during this period can pay special attention to short-term opportunities.
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